Advanced Analytics - Historical forecast accuracy dashboard

Updated by Daniel Sjögren

Please note that this functionality is still in BETA mode, and the full release and release date will be communicated via our future release notes!

Historical forecast accuracy

The Historical forecast accuracy dashboard is crafted to provide a clear and actionable visualization of your forecasting performance over past periods. By comparing the forecasted demand with the actual demand, this dashboard enables you to assess how accurately your forecasts have aligned with real-world outcomes. It offers intuitive charts and metrics that showcase trends in forecasting accuracy, helping you understand whether your predictions are improving over time.

One of the key features of this dashboard is its ability to help identify outliers—data points that significantly deviate from established trends. These outliers may signal an anomaly or a need for further investigation, providing actionable insights that can be addressed quickly. By pinpointing these exceptions, you can take proactive steps to refine your forecast models, reducing errors and improving the overall accuracy of your demand projections. This makes the dashboard not just a tool for monitoring forecasts but also a critical asset for enhancing predictive precision and driving more informed decision-making across your organization.

In terms of actionable insight, the Historical forecast accuracy dashboard serves as a vital tool for continuous improvement. It helps you monitor past forecasting performance and also equips you with the insights needed to make informed adjustments. This ensures that your demand planning becomes more accurate over time, driving better decision-making and operational efficiency across your organization.

When working with the dashboards, there is an important first step. That is - to enable the dashboards - you first have to select the Start or End of time range button and refresh to populate the dashboards with the relevant information based on your filter criteria.

Global controls and filters

Filter

Description

Options

District Name

For either District or Unit name, you can select the group based criteria by which you want to filter the results on the dashboard.

By default, it shows all groups (that you have access to). Then, as an easy example, if you want to filter down to the district Stockholm the charts will automatically filter to show the results for the groups within that district.

A more advanced example is that with the additional filter options, you could also exclude individual groups from the view. This means that if you have identified a potential outlier, you could purposely exclude that specific group from the results so that you can see the impact of that change and (hopefully) see an improvement in the overall results.

  • Default: all groups (that you have access to)
  • Can then filter down to include/exclude any additional groups based on the attributes listed below

Variable

With this filter, you can select which variables you want to filter the dashboard results by.

By default, it shows all available variables, with which Quinyx aggregates the information presented in the dashboards. From here, you can select as many variables as you would like to, to better drill down into the insights for the variables you care about.

  • Default: all variables
  • Can then filter down to select which variables you would like insights for

Start of time range (inclusive)

By default, the starting day is today. However, using this filter, you can select the start date going back however long you’d like.

Note: you have to set this field first, in order to populate the dashboards

End of time range (exclusive)

Use this filter to select the end date for your dashboard to define the time range for your dashboard in conjunction with the Time range length field (as described below).

Note: you have to set this field first, in order to populate the dashboards

Time range length

With this filter, you can select how many days in the future you’d like to view the forecast data.

  • Default: 14 days
  • Options:
Forecasted demand (Totals)

Insight

Description

Total Forecasted Demand

The Total forecasted demand shows the aggregate total for your exact forecast based on the selected groups, variables, and time period.

The Forecast range shows any potential variance from that total. Showing the lowest scenario and highest scenario (each calculated as 90% variance from the baseline).

Forecasted Confidence Range

The Daily forecasted demand with likely range is a visual representation of this same information, illustrating how this is predicted to change over time.

The center line shows the Forecast Total, while the north and south line shows the confidence intervals. That being the 90% confidence variance from that central line (5% above and 5% below).

Forecasted demand (by variable)

Insight

Description

Forecasted demand by variable

The Forecasted demand by variable panel uses this same data, but then slices it by variable. Designed as a table graph it provides a simple visualization of the high performers and low performers, organized by variable.

Daily forecasted demand by variable

This line graph visualizes this Daily forecasted demand by variable over time. That is - showing the performance of each variable over time, to allow for easy comparison of the selected variables.

Forecasted demand (by District and Unit)

Insight

Description

Details & Calculations

Forecasted demand by district

With the Forecasted demand by district and unit dashboards you get a simple view of all the groups within your organization to provide a comprehensive overview of how each district and unit is performing.

Everything here is clickable, so if you select any district or unit (in either the table or scatterplot graph the results will automatically be filtered to that group, allowing you to drill deeper to identify any discrepancies.

Forecasted demand by unit

With the Forecasted demand by district and unit dashboards, you get a simple view of all the groups within your organization to provide a comprehensive overview of how each district and unit is performing.

Everything here is clickable, so if you select any district or unit (in either the table or scatterplot graph the results will automatically be filtered to that group, allowing you to drill deeper to identify any discrepancies.

Forecasted demand and expected change by district

With the scatter plot graphs accompanying them, you can get a visual representation of this same insight.

Designed to help you easily identify outliers, here you can quickly differentiate between top performersbottom performers and any district or unit performing outside the norm so that you can take actionable insight where needed.

Everything here is clickable, so if you select any district or unit (in either the table or scatterplot graph the results will automatically be filtered to that group, allowing you to drill deeper to identify any discrepancies.

Forecasted demand and expected change by unit

With the scatter plot graphs accompanying them, you can get a visual representation of this same insight.

Designed to help you easily identify outliers, here you can quickly differentiate between top performersbottom performers and any district or unit performing outside the norm so that you can take actionable insight where needed.

Everything here is clickable, so if you select any district or unit (in either the table or scatterplot graph the results will automatically be filtered to that group, allowing you to drill deeper to identify any discrepancies.

Looking to get a good overview of upcoming forecast demand instead of past events? Read more here.


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